Cyber Attacks and Reality Checks

Not long ago, I was discussing with an online acquaintance some of his observations on observations on cyber warfare, intelligence, white hat cyber surveillance. This got me to consider some other points of contention when dealing with cyber attacks and false flags. You see, before we go after some supposed nation or culprit for a cyber attack, we better make sure they actually did it. Let's talk.

Now then, in the number one rule of the CIA book, namely don't get caught, it makes sense that folks doing cyber attacks would cover their tracks with false leads and carefully planted bread crumbs to lead their pursuers astray, false flags are probably more prominent than not. In other words, everything should be considered diametrically opposed to Occam's Razor, as if Occam's Razor in cyber warfare.

Of course, with high level thinking, cognitive theory, the smarter people are doing the cyber attacks, and trying to out think within the minds of the opposing force, so the mind games along with the cyber attacking makes for a fun sport. Too bad so many people inadvertently get caught in the cross-swap of virtual war games played into the real world.

It's interesting that I concur with most all of what my acquaintance had said, that rarely happens on topics like this, perhaps due to all the compartmentalization of these overlapping domains, as folks near the scene only see what is closes to them, not the bigger picture. Personally, I see it all as one, not in parts, it blends, which is why it could be so damn dangerous if someone who gets it and has the right team behind them starts playing full-tilt for keeps.

Consider a cyber attack on our economic system.
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That's a scary thought, unfortunately all the tools are in place for someone to really rake havoc on the economic system. I noted the CME (commodity trading computers) in Chicago went down the other day, not like there isn't enough on-going daily chaos in those markets to start with. If fat fingers can cause flash crashes, and if high-speed trading algorithms can overwhelm the system, who is to say a double whammy and orchestrated follow-up cyber attack on the system, couldn't take it all down - if so, then what?

Could that with a foreign Black Swan Event, some fabricated online news, and a couple of bubble bursts around the planet, and it is quite possible that a cyber attack on our financial markets could cost us trillions of dollars and set us back before we knew what hit us. Don't worry, these challenges are known and there are contingency plans, but it is scary stuff nevertheless. Please consider all this and think on it.